1. Comment
October 24, 2018

Philips share price plunges after Q3 results, but there’s reason to be optimistic

By MarketLine

Philips’ Q3 results prompted a sell-off from investors sending the share price plummeting, but the company’s underlying fundamentals remain strong.

Profits were expected to reach €350m for the quarter but fell short at just €292m, while EBITA reached €590m, an increase of 10.9% compared with Q3 2017.

The company missed both earnings per share and revenue expectations, prompting a sell-off.

Philips share price dropped to its lowest in nine months, after shares plunged in February 2018, and closed at  €31.40 yesterday on 23 October.

Philips share price

CEO Frans van Houten had blamed issues with the worldwide economy, citing “currency headwinds, which were sizeable in the emerging markets”, for the reason why profits weren’t as high as expected.

This fall in share price should represent only a short term loss for the company, with sales likely to grow as a result of Q3’s increased order volumes, and the company’s share price should recover heading into 2019.

Sales in the quarter were €4.3bn, compared to €4.1bn  in Q3 2017. The company were however hopeful with the growth in China, with order intake up 11% from Q3 2017, which had struggled in Q2.

The company has managed to improve its cost position significantly. There was an increase in gross margin to 46.8% from January to September 2018, compared to 46% in the same period in the previous year. Adjusted EBITA represented 11.1% of sales for the year-to-date, compared to 10.2% in the same year previous.

Trade situation deteriorates

CEO van Houten predicted that the brewing trade war between the US and China could cost the company around €60m  in profit next year.  The company is reevaluating its targets in Turkey and Argentina, where local currencies have experienced volatility.

However, the company does have manufacturing bases in the US, Europe and Asia, and is well placed to avoid currency issues. It plans to further improve its local manufacturing bases in a bid to circumvent the worst excesses of increasing trade barriers.

The uncertainty between the UK’s exit from the European Union also poses a threat to the company’s profits, with a move away from its British manufacturing facility looking likely if the EU imposes strong export tariffs on the UK.

The company reduced its consumer products footprint significantly in the advent of fierce competition, and has instead prioritised high end medical equipment. MarketLine data estimates that global healthcare equipment and supplies will grow with an anticipated compound annual growth rate of 4.9% between 2017 and 2022, primarily driven by Asia-Pacific.

CEO van Houten reiterated that the company was on track for four to six percent growth by the end of the year. For a company that is very clearly focusing its growth on the emerging markets, Philips would do well to achieve that growth figure. The company wants to innovate and earn a significant market share in the likes of China.